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SACEMA-UNITID
Epidemiological Modelling Workshop

April 8-11, 2019, Kenyatta National Hospital grounds, Nairobi

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Applied Epidemiological Modelling

The workshop will explore the uses of mathematical models in describing past and future disease transmission, and how these models can be applied in evaluating the effectiveness of disease control interventions and comparing policy options to reduce disease burden.

Workshop
8-11 April
Lectures and
interactive sessions
Facilitators
6
Researchers with
diverse experience
Participants
20
Early career researchers
from around Kenya

Facilitators

Juliet Pulliam

Director of SACEMA

Thumbi Mwangi

KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Fellow, UNITID & WSU

Jeanette Dawa

UNITID & LSHTM

Zinhle Mthombothi

Junior Research at SACEMA

Emanuel Dominic

Junior Researcher at SACEMA

Ivy Kombe

KEMRI-Wellcome Trust & LSHTM

Schedule

Each day will focus on a specific topic, as specified below. The schedule below is preliminary and may be adjusted during the workshop to better meet participants' needs. Materials and resources are available on this page.

Day 1: Modelling for fundamental insight into disease transmission
7:45–8:30am
Registration and computer checks
8:30–9:00
Opening session

Moderator: Thumbi Mwangi

9:00-9:45
Introduction to Epidemiological Modelling

Presenter: Juliet Pulliam

9:45-10:30
Case Study 1: paper discussion in groups

All instructors

10:30-11:00
Morning break

11:00-11:30
Case Study 1: key points and remaining questions

Moderator: Zinhle Mthombothi

11:30-12:30
Case Study 1: live coding

Presenter: Emanuel Dominic

12:30-13:30
Lunch break
13:30-14:00
Computer trouble-shooting (as required)
14:00-14:50
Coding Challenge 1

All instructors

14:50-15:00
Coding Challenge 1: wrap-up

Presenter: Emanuel Dominic

15:00-15:45
Self-directed work session

All instructors

15:45-16:00
Stretch break / afternoon tea
16:00-16:15
Overview of supplementary papers

Presenter: Ivy Kombe

16:15-17:00
KENET

Presenters: Ronald Osure

Day 2: Models for study design
8:00–8:30
Recap of Day 1

Moderator: Juliet Pulliam

8:30–9:00
Coding Challenge 1 wrap-up

Presenter: Emanuel Dominic

9:00–9:15
Models for study design

Presenter: Juliet Pulliam

9:15-10:00
Case Study 2: paper discussion in groups

All instructors

10:00-10:30
Morning break
10:30-11:15
Case Study 2: key points and remaining questions

Moderator: Thumbi Mwangi

11:15-12:30
Case Study 2: computer session

Presenter: Juliet Pulliam

12:30-13:45
Lunch break
13:45-15:00
Self-directed work session / Coding challenge 2

All instructors

15:00-15:45
Overview of supplementary papers

Presenter: Emanuel Dominic

15:45-16:15
Stretch break / afternoon tea
16:15-17:00
SACEMA

Presenter: Zinhle Mthombothi

Day 3: Structured model-based decision making
8:00–8:30
Recap of Day 2

Moderator: Zinhle Mthombothi

8:30-9:00
Coding Challenge 2 (Options 1 and 2): wrap-up

Presenter: Juliet Pulliam

9:00–9:15
Structured model-based decision making

Presenter: Ivy Kombe

9:15-10:00
Case Study 3: paper discussion in groups

All instructors

10:00-10:30
Morning break
10:30-11:15
Case Study 3: key points and remaining questions

Moderator: Emanuel Dominic

11:15-13:00
Case Study 3: computer session

Presenter: Thumbi Mwangi

13:00-14:15
Lunch break
14:15-15:30
Self-directed work session

All instructors

15:30-15:45
Stretch break / afternoon tea
15:45-16:30
Overview of supplementary papers

Presenter: Zinhle Mthombothi

16:30-17:00
UNITID and GeMVi

Presenter: Thumbi Mwangi and Ivy Kombe

18:00
Dinner at Fogo Gaucho

Everyone

Day 4: Using models to infer impact of interventions
8:00–8:30
Recap of Day 3

Moderator: Thumbi Mwangi

8:30–8:45
Coding Challenge 2 (Option 3): wrap-up

Presenter: Juliet Pulliam

8:45–9:00
Using models to infer impact of interventions

Presenter: Juliet Pulliam

9:00-10:00
Case Study 4: paper discussion in groups

All instructors

10:00-10:30
Morning break
10:30-11:15
Case Study 4: key points and remaining questions

Moderator: Ivy Kombe

11:15-11:45
Case Study 4: model specification

Presenter: Zinhle Mthombothi

11:45-12:30
Case Study 4: group live coding challenge!

Presenter: Emanuel Dominic

12:30-13:45
Lunch break
13:45-14:45
Self-directed work session

All instructors

14:45-15:00
Coding Challenge 3 (wrap-up)

Presenter: Ivy Kombe

15:00-15:30
Overview of supplementary papers

Presenter: Ivy Kombe

15:30-16:00
Stretch break / afternoon tea
16:00-16:45
Take-aways, follow-up, and evaluation

Moderator: Juliet Pulliam

16:45-17:00
Closing session

Moderator: Thumbi Mwangi

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Sponsors

The workshop is made possible through an Africa Collaboration Grant from Stellenbosch University's International Office. Additional support is provided by the South African Center for Epidemioloigcal Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA, a DST-NRF Centre of Excellence), the University of Nairobi Institute for Tropical and Infectious Diseases (UNITID), Washington State University, the Infectious Disease Society of Kenya (IDSK), and the Kenya Education Network (KENET).

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